Sunday, March 9, 2008

2008 Fantasy Baseball Season

Please see Fantasy Baseball 2008 for the latest information on the 2008 fantasy baseball season.

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Hot Players for Week 2



Players who are worthy of being picked up based on last week's performance. (Note: All stats are from Sunday, April 8, to Saturday, April 14):

Aaron Hill, 2B,SS

Aaron Hill was the #1 ranked fantasy player in Yahoo default leagues last week, with a line of 8 R, 1 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB, and .500 BA. He is eligible in 2B and SS, two positions that are fairly weak this year. Grab him if he is still available in your league.

Luis Gonzalez, OF

Gonzo had a great week, going 7-for-21 (.333) with 5 R, 3 HR, 6 RBI, and even 1 SB. I still wouldn't recommend using him as your permanet #3 OF, but in the short term, he can be a help to your team.

Kenny Lofton, OF

Lofton has always put up good R, BA, and SB numbers. This year during the draft, many owners shied away from him. The first week of the season was brutal for Lofton, as he went 2-for-20. The second week, though, has seen a revival, as he went 8-for-17, with 2 SB to boot. Those who need SB help should look no further than Lofton.

Ty Wigginton, 1B, 2B, 3B, OF

Wigginton is batting cleanup in a Tampa Bay lineup filled with good fantasy contributors, and he has done well recently -- 5 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB, and .393 BA last week. He will continue to have plenty of opportunities to drive in runs going forward.

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Sunday, April 8, 2007

Hot Players For Week 1


Players who are worthy of being picked up based on last week's performance. (Note: All stats are from Sunday, April 1, to Saturday, April 7):

Eric Byrnes, OF
Byrnes was excellent during the first week of the season, getting a line of 5 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 3 SB, and .385 BA, while batting 2nd and cleanup for the Diamondbacks. While his numbers may have been aided by 3 games at Colorado, he should still be picked up as your 3rd OF or your Utility guy.

Akinori Iwamura, 3B
During the first week, Iwamura put up a line of 7 R, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 SB, and a ridiculous BA of .615. Are these numbers sustainable? Looking at his numbers in the last 3 years in Japan, it looks like the answer is yes:


YearHRRBIBA
200444103.300
200530102.319
20063277.311

While it's unrealistic to expect him to beat Ichiro in BA, he should definitely be a good 3B on your fantasy team.

Mike Jacobs, 1B
Coming out of the gate, Jacobs had 7 R, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB, and .429. Batting in the cleanup spot behind M Cabrera, he will certainly get his RBI chances.

Orlando Hudson, 2B
Hudson first week numbers were 8 R, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB, and .360. Hudson appears to be the number 3 hitter in the Diamondback lineup, so he is definitely worthy of a look, especially given that he plays 2B, a relatively weak fantasy position this year.

Khalil Greene, SS
Coming out of the gate, Greene had 4 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB, and .333. During the last 2 years, Greene has not shown consistency, so it remains to be seen whether he can continue this production. Those who are desperate for SS help can pick him up.

Curtis Granderson, OF
Granderson's first week numbers were 5 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI, 1 SB, and .375. Is this a breakout year or just an exceptional week? We don't know yet. Those who are more adventerous can pick him up.

Mark DeRosa, 2B, 3B, OF
DeRosa's first week numbers were 3 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB, and .412. He has batted mostly in the 7th slot for the Cubs, so he might not get enough RBI chances going forward to keep this type of production up even if he can continue the hot BA. He does have multi-position eligibility, so he is worth taking a flyer if you need help in 2B, 3B, or OF.

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Tuesday, April 3, 2007

Fantasy Sleepers - From Opening Day Batting Orders

One way of identifying possible sleepers for the season is to see who is the leadoff batter or the cleanup hitter on opening day. Below is the list:

AL

Team1st4thTeam1st4th
BalB RobertsM TejadaMinL CastilloM Cuddyer
BosJ LugoM RamirezNYYJ DamonA Rodriguez
ChWP OzunaP KonerkoOakJ KendallM Piazza
CleG SizemoreV MartinezSeaI SuzukiR Ibanez
DetC GrandersonM OrdonezTBC CrawfordT Wigginton
KCD DeJesusM SweeneyTexK LoftonM Teixeira
LAAG Matthews Jr G AndersonTorR JohnsonF Thomas


NL

Team1st4thTeam1st4th
AtlK JohnsonA JonesMilR WeeksB Hall
FlaH RamirezM JacobsPitC DuffyA LaRoche
NYMJ ReyesC DelgadoStLD EcksteinS Rolen
PhilJ RollinsC UtleyAriS DrewC Tracy
WasF LopezA KearnsColW TaverasT Helton
ChCA SorianoA RamirezLADJ PierreJ Kent
CinR FreelK Griffey JrSDM GilesA Gonzalez
HouC BiggioC LeeSFD RobertsR Durham


The players in yellow are the ones who are not getting much love on draft day, and have the potential to be a valuable fantasy contributor for 2007 (aka sleppers). If I am to pick two out of this group, I'd say Mike Jacobs and Kenny Lofton. Jacobs is batting behind H Ramirez, D Uggla, and M Cabrera, so he'll definitely have his share of RBI's. As for Lofton, even though he is approaching 40, he has shown that he can still be productive as the leadoff man when he gets the at bats (last year he batted .301 with 32 SB's for the Dodgers).

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Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Quantitative Player Ranking - OF

Here is the quantitative player ranking for all players who are OF-eligible in Yahoo fantasy baseball leagues for 2007:

RankPlayerRHRRBISBAvgTotal
1Jermaine Dye6774630
2Carlos Beltrán7775329
3Lance Berkman5773628
3Matt Holliday6574628
5Vladimir Guerrero3574726
6Jason Bay5574425
6Bobby Abreu5376425
6Barry Bonds6673325
9Manny Ramírez5670624
9Andruw Jones6673224
9Moisés Alou3673524
12Alfonso Soriano5636323
12Carlos Lee4555423
14Grady Sizemore7425422
14Vernon Wells3545522
14Johnny Damon6435422
14Rocco Baldelli4445522
14Raúl Ibañez4572422
14Álex Ríos3455522
14Michael Cuddyer5473322
21Carl Crawford3337521
21Hideki Matsui5443521
21Torii Hunter4554321
21J.D. Drew4473321
21Jim Edmonds3574221
21Chris Duncan7640421
27Gary Sheffield3445420
27Reed Johnson5324620
29Adam Dunn5644019
29Corey Patterson4327319
29Mike Cameron4445219
29Pat Burrell5570219
29Juan Rivera3470519
29Gary Matthews Jr.4334519
29Carlos Quentin3573119
29Casey Blake4444319
29Marcus Thames5642219
38Nick Swisher6542118
38Austin Kearns4444218
38Milton Bradley3435318
38Matt Murton4334418
38Jacque Jones2444418
38Emil Brown3344418
44Ichiro Suzuki4106617
44Eric Byrnes3435217
44Brad Hawpe2443417
44Craig Monroe4443217
44Andre Ethier2334517
44Ty Wigginton1553317
50Chone Figgins4127216
50Magglio Ordóñez3441416
50Nick Markakis3333416
50Dave Roberts4017416
50Chris Burke4225316
50Kenny Lofton4016516
50Kevin Youkilis5233316
50David DeJesús4224416
50Mark DeRosa3333416
59Ryan Freel3207315
59Brad Wilkerson5433015
59Reggie Sanders3344115
59Jay Payton3224415
59Melky Cabrera4125315
64Delmon Young2204614
64Scott Podsednik4017214
64Coco Crisp3216214
64Josh Willingham1433314
64Curtis Granderson3324214
64Ken Griffey Jr.3640114
64Brian Giles3234214
64Geoff Jenkins2333314
64Aaron Rowand3324214
64Shawn Green2333314
64Jason Lane3542014
64Juan Encarnación2333314
76Willy Taveras4006313
76Jeff Francoeur2441213
76Jonny Gomes2542013
76Randy Winn3224213
76Preston Wilson1334213
76Garret Anderson1342313
76Cliff Floyd2334113
76Luis González4330313
76Xavier Nady1333313
85Juan Pierre1007412
85Kevin Mench0342312
85José Guillén1443012
88Chris Duffy3007111
89Aubrey Huff1430210
90Jeremy Hermida121419


The names that jump out on top are Barry Bonds and Moisés Alou. While you can safely ignore Barry Bonds (because he is not going to get anywhere near the at bats this exercise assumes), Moisés Alou is worth a look. He is slated to bat 5th in a powerful Mets lineup, and if he stays healthy, he will absolutely be the best late-round steal for 2007.

Another player who scored higher than expected is Rocco Baldelli. In fact, he scored better than his teammate Carl Crawford, who usually goes in the first two rounds. While Crawford will likely be a more valuable fantasy contributor because he will get more at bats batting leadoff, this does suggest that Crawford is overrated and Baldelli is underrated. Your draft strategy should be modified accordingly.

On the flip side, it's surprising to see Ichiro Suzuki and Chone Figgins ranked so low (44th and 50th, respectively). I've talked about Figgins before, so I won't talk about him here. Ichiro's total score was dragged down by HR and RBI, as the bottom part of the Mariners' lineup was toothless last year, giving Ichiro few RBI opportunities. So, he had to concentrate on getting on base, which means his HR suffered, too. The situation doesn't look too different this year. So, I would stay away from picking Ichiro early (he is usually picked in round 2 or round 3) this season.

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